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2014 Hurricane Names


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The Atlantic Hurricane season started on June 1.

The Pacific Hurricane season started on May 15.

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Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information (Eastern Pacific below)


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 221152
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Nine, located over the eastern Bay of Campeche.

A large non-tropical low, located over the northeastern Atlantic
Ocean a few hundred miles south of the western Azores, continues to
produce showers and winds to gale force. While this system has
recently become slightly better organized, environmental conditions
are forecast to become less conducive for development by Thursday
while it meanders. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



Summary for Tropical Depression NINE (AT4/AL092014)- ...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED... ...AIR FORCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE CYCLONE... As of 7:00 AM CDT Wed Oct 22 the center of NINE was located near 19.4, -92.4 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression NINE Public Advisory Number 2A-Issued at 700 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014


000
WTNT34 KNHC 221147
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
700 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
...AIR FORCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 92.4W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF
HOURS...BUT IT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH... 9
KM/H...LATER THIS MORNING. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN
STATE OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...AND THE DEPRESSION
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND. AN AIR FORCE
PLANE IN CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE DEPRESSION.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Advisory Number 2-Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

000
WTNT24 KNHC 220831
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO FRONTERA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.3W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.3W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  92.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.4N  91.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.3N  90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.1N  89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.9N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.5N  86.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 18.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.5N  82.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  92.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Discussion Number 2-Issued at 400 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

000
WTNT44 KNHC 220839
TCDAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DISCUSSION NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014
400 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

After the increase of deep convection noted earlier, thunderstorm
activity associated with depression has leveled off, and recently
cloud tops have warmed.  Also, the tropical cyclone's presentation
on the Sabancuy, Mexico radar imagery has become less organized.
The current intensity of the system is held at 30 kt.  An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
depression later this morning to check its intensity.

The depression continues to be affected by southwesterly shear, but
the dynamical guidance indicates some weakening of this shear within
the next 24 hours.  This should allow for some strengthening of the
system over the warm waters of the eastern Bay of Campeche, prior to
reaching the Yucatan Peninsula tonight.  After weakening due to its
passage across Yucatan, drier air associated with a frontal system
and west-southwesterly shear are expected to prevent
reintensification.  The official intensity forecast is similar to
the previous one.  Since the system is quite small, it might be
disrupted more than expected by its interaction with land -- and
weaken or degenerate into a remnant low sooner than shown by the NHC
forecast.

The cyclone continues to move eastward, or 090/5 kt.  A generally
westerly mid-level environmental flow should carry the system
across the Yucatan Peninsula and into the northwestern Caribbean
Sea during the forecast period.  The official track forecast is
nudged only slightly to the south of the previous one, but is north
of the multi-model consensus.  It should be noted that due to the
possible interaction with a baroclinic cyclone to the northeast in
the latter part of the period, the track forecast becomes more
uncertain by days 4 and 5.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  22/0900Z 19.4N  92.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  22/1800Z 19.4N  91.6W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  23/0600Z 19.3N  90.6W   45 KT  50 MPH...INLAND
 36H  23/1800Z 19.1N  89.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 48H  24/0600Z 18.9N  88.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 72H  25/0600Z 18.5N  86.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...OVER WATER
 96H  26/0600Z 18.5N  84.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  27/0600Z 18.5N  82.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Pasch




Tropical Depression NINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2-Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

000
FONT14 KNHC 220833
PWSAT4
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092014               
0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
FRONTERA MX    34 10   2(12)   X(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
MERIDA MX      34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
COZUMEL MX     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   1(11)
 
BELIZE         34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   7(12)   4(16)   1(17)   X(17)
 
PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)
 
GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)   1(11)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    



Tropical Depression NINE Graphics- Tropical Depression NINE 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 22 Oct 2014 08:42:06 GMT

Tropical Depression NINE 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 22 Oct 2014 09:04:44 GMT


Hurricane Advisory 1
Hurricane Advisory 2
Hurricane Advisory 3
Hurricane Advisory 4
Hurricane Advisory 5

Pacific Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information


NHC Eastern Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific

Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221153
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 22 Oct 2014 11:53:32 GMT

CPHC

Activity in the Central Pacific Hurricane basin

Tropical Storm ANA #35-Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

Tropical Storm ANA Advisory Number 35-
Issued at 1100 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 167.1W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM W OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 


Tropical Storm ANA Forecast/Advisory Number 35-Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 167.1W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.

Tropical Storm ANA Discussion Number 35-Issued at 1100 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2014 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0900Z 22.4N 167.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 22/1800Z 23.4N 167.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 23/0600Z 24.9N 168.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 23/1800Z 26.5N 169.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 24/0600Z 28.1N 169.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 25/0600Z 32.4N 165.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 96H 26/0600Z 39.7N 156.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 27/0600Z 47.2N 142.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

Tropical Storm ANA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35 -Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

Tropical Storm ANA ICAO Advisory Number 35-Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 22 2014

Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook- For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

1. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu Hawaii is issuing advisories on tropical storm Ana, located 495 miles west of Lihue Hawaii, under AWIPS header TCPCP5 and WMO header WTPA35 PHFO.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through late Thursday night.
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