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    2019 Hurricane Names

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    Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information (Eastern Pacific below)


    NHC Atlantic

    Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

    Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 180513
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2019

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    A broad area of low pressure located about 450 miles east-northeast
    of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers
    and thunderstorms with winds of around 30 mph on its northeast side.
    Some gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical
    or subtropical depression could form during the next couple of days
    while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open
    Atlantic. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become
    less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge with a
    frontal system after midweek, so additional development is not
    expected. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by
    the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
    found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Brennan


    There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 18 Nov 2019 09:24:15 GMT


    Hurricane Advisory 1
    Hurricane Advisory 2
    Hurricane Advisory 3
    Hurricane Advisory 4
    Hurricane Advisory 5

    Pacific Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information


    NHC Eastern North Pacific

    Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

    Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
    000
    ABPZ20 KNHC 180502
    TWOEP

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1000 PM PST Sun Nov 17 2019

    For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Depression Twenty-One-E, located well south of the southern coast of
    Mexico.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Brennan


    Summary for Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E (EP1/EP212019)- ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY EARLY TUESDAY... As of 3:00 AM CST Mon Nov 18 the center of Twenty-One-E was located near 12.2, -105.0 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

    Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Public Advisory Number 9-Issued at 300 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2019
    
    166 
    WTPZ31 KNHC 180831
    TCPEP1
    
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number   9
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212019
    300 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2019
    
    ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY EARLY TUESDAY...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.2N 105.0W
    ABOUT 470 MI...760 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
    
    
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
    
    
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
    Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 12.2 North, longitude 105.0
    West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11
    km/h). A westward motion at a slower forward speed is expected for
    the next couple of days.
    
    Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
    The depression is expected to become a remnant by early Tuesday and
    dissipate by Wednesday night or Thursday.
    
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
    
    
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None
    
    
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST.
    
    $$
    Forecaster Brennan
    
    
    


    Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Forecast Advisory Number 9-Issued at 0900 UTC MON NOV 18 2019
    
    000
    WTPZ21 KNHC 180831
    TCMEP1
     
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212019
    0900 UTC MON NOV 18 2019
     
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
     
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 105.0W AT 18/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
     
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   6 KT
     
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
     
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 105.0W AT 18/0900Z
    AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 104.8W
     
    FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 12.3N 105.8W
    MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
     
    FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 12.4N 106.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
     
    FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 12.5N 107.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
     
    FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.5N 108.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
     
    FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED
     
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 105.0W
     
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
     
    $$
    FORECASTER BRENNAN
     
     
    


    Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Forecast Discussion Number 9-Issued at 300 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2019
    
    000
    WTPZ41 KNHC 180833
    TCDEP1
    
    Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Discussion Number   9
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212019
    300 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2019
    
    Organized deep convection had been sparse for a few hours, but some
    cold cloud tops have recently developed near the estimated center
    location. Infrared imagery shows a much larger area of deep
    convection farther to the north and northeast, but this feature
    lacks curvature and doesn't seem to be directly associated with the
    depression's circulation. A partial ASCAT-A pass around 0315Z showed
    only 15-20 kt winds to the east of the center, but the initial
    intensity is being held, perhaps generously, at 25 kt since the
    entire circulation was not sampled. The NHC forecast shows the
    system becoming a remnant low by 24 hours, and while the global
    models show the circulation dissipating by 72 h, it wouldn't be
    surprising if this happened much sooner.
    
    The center has been difficult to track in infrared imagery, but
    based on the earlier scatterometer data and the latest satellite
    fixes, the initial motion estimate is 305/06. The system should be
    steered generally westward from now until dissipation by a weak
    low-level ridge to the north. The new NHC forecast lies near the
    north edge of the guidance envelope close to HCCA and the GFS.
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  18/0900Z 12.2N 105.0W   25 KT  30 MPH
     12H  18/1800Z 12.3N 105.8W   25 KT  30 MPH
     24H  19/0600Z 12.4N 106.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     36H  19/1800Z 12.5N 107.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     48H  20/0600Z 12.5N 108.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     72H  21/0600Z...DISSIPATED
    
    $$
    Forecaster Brennan
    
    


    Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9-Issued at 0900 UTC MON NOV 18 2019
    
    174 
    FOPZ11 KNHC 180831
    PWSEP1
                                                                        
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212019               
    0900 UTC MON NOV 18 2019                                            
                                                                        
    AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED 
    NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
    SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                     
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  
    
    


    Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Graphics- Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 18 Nov 2019 08:32:50 GMT

    Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 18 Nov 2019 09:24:06 GMT
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