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Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information (Eastern Pacific below)


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 311127
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Fred, located near the easternmost Cape Verde
Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Summary for Hurricane FRED (AT1/AL062015)- ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN SPREADING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... As of 11:00 AM AST Mon Aug 31 the center of FRED was located near 16.4, -23.7 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 986 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.

Hurricane FRED Public Advisory Number 7-Issued at 1100 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015


000
WTNT31 KNHC 311458
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN SPREADING NORTHWESTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 23.7W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WNW OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 23.7 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
later today.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.   Little change in strength is expected through
early tonight while Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.
Gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading
across the northern Cape Verde Islands today.  Hurricane conditions
are occurring over portions of the northeastern Cape Verde Islands
and are expected to spread northwestward over portions of the
northern and northwestern Cape Verde Islands through tonight.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



Hurricane FRED Forecast Advisory Number 7-Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

000
WTNT21 KNHC 311450
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  23.7W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  23.7W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  23.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.3N  25.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.6N  26.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N  28.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.3N  30.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.4N  33.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 22.5N  37.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  23.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




Hurricane FRED Forecast Discussion Number 7-Issued at 1100 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

000
WTNT41 KNHC 311451
TCDAT1

HURRICANE FRED DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

Visible satellite pictures and earlier microwave data indicate
that Fred has a well-defined inner core.  The outer banding that
was noted yesterday is no longer evident, and the hurricane is quite
compact.  A well-defined eye was evident in both a 0904 UTC
SSMIS and 1121 UTC AMSU microwave overpasses. The initial intensity
is raised to 75 kt, which is between the latest objective and
subjective satellite estimates from UW/CIMSS and TAFB, respectively.
Satellite data suggest that the eye of Fred passed just southwest of
Boa Vista Island in the Cape Verde Islands, however the northeastern
eyewall likely moved over a portion of that island just before 1200
UTC this morning.

The sea surface temperatures along the path of Fred are beginning
to decrease, however, the vertical shear is expected to remain quite
low for another 12 hours or so.  Little change in strength is
expected today.  By Tuesday, Fred will be over SSTS of around 26C
and southwesterly shear is forecast to increase.  This should cause
gradual weakening, and a further increase in shear and a drier, more
stable air mass should cause a faster rate of decay after 36 hours.
The tropical cyclone is now forecast to become a tropical depression
in about 4 days, and degenerate to a remnant low by the end of the
forecast period.

Fred continues to move northwestward at about 10 kt. The hurricane
should maintain a northwestward heading during the next 12 to 24
hours. During this time, the center of Fred is expected to pass over
or very close to the northwestern Cape Verde Islands of Sao Nicolou,
Santa Luzuia, Sao Vicente, and Sao Antao. On Tuesday, a west-
northwestward turn is predicted as a mid-level ridge builds to the
north of the cyclone.  Fred should then maintain a
west-northwestward heading during the remainder of the forecast
period.  The NHC track remains on the south side of the guidance
envelope, in best agreement with a consensus of the typically
reliable GFS and ECMWF models.

According to the official Atlantic tropical cyclone record, which
begins in 1851, Fred is the first hurricane to pass through the Cape
Verde Islands since 1892.  We caution, however, that the database is
less reliable prior to the satellite era (mid 1960s onward).

Please note that the track/cone graphic, an automatically generated
product, does not have the capability of displaying warnings for the
Cape Verde Islands.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  31/1500Z 16.4N  23.7W   75 KT  85 MPH
 12H  01/0000Z 17.3N  25.1W   70 KT  80 MPH
 24H  01/1200Z 18.6N  26.9W   65 KT  75 MPH
 36H  02/0000Z 19.6N  28.8W   60 KT  70 MPH
 48H  02/1200Z 20.3N  30.6W   50 KT  60 MPH
 72H  03/1200Z 21.4N  33.8W   40 KT  45 MPH
 96H  04/1200Z 22.5N  37.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
120H  05/1200Z 24.0N  41.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Brown



Hurricane FRED Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7-Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

000
FONT11 KNHC 311451
PWSAT1
                                                                    
HURRICANE FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015               
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 23.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS
...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    


Hurricane FRED Graphics- Hurricane FRED 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 31 Aug 2015 14:51:22 GMT

Hurricane FRED 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 31 Aug 2015 14:50:47 GMT


Hurricane Advisory 1
Hurricane Advisory 2
Hurricane Advisory 3
Hurricane Advisory 4
Hurricane Advisory 5

Pacific Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information


NHC Eastern Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific

Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311125
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on major
Hurricane Jimena, located well east of the Big Island of Hawaii.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 650 miles miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have changed little in organization overnight. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and this system is
likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or two
while it begins to move northwestward at about 10 mph. If
development has not occurred by mid-week, less favorable upper-level
winds could make tropical cyclone formation less likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown


Summary for Hurricane JIMENA (EP3/EP132015)- ...JIMENA MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH AS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... As of 8:00 AM PDT Mon Aug 31 the center of JIMENA was located near 15.6, -135.3 with movement W at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 936 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 150 mph.

Hurricane JIMENA Public Advisory Number 20-Issued at 800 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 311443
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...JIMENA MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH AS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 135.3W
ABOUT 1330 MI...2145 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 135.3 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn to the west-northwest
with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple
of days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in strength is expected during
the next day or so, followed by slow weakening.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 936 mb (27.64 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory Number 20-Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 135.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 137.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 138.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 140.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 142.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 143.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.9N 143.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 135.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Discussion Number 20-Issued at 800 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

000
WTPZ43 KNHC 311445
TCDEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
800 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

Jimena continues to be a powerful hurricane.  Recent microwave data
and infrared satellite images suggest that the system still has
concentric eyewalls.  The eye of the hurricane remains distinct and
has a diameter of about 20 n mi, and the convective pattern is
slightly asymmetric with cloud tops slightly warmer west of the eye.
Satellite intensity estimates were all 6.5 on the Dvorak scale,
therefore, the initial wind speed remains 130 kt.

The hurricane is now moving westward at about 14 kt steered by a
mid-level high pressure system to the north of the cyclone.  This
ridge is expected to break down during the next couple of days
while a trough deepens near the west coast of the United States.
This pattern evolution should weaken the steering currents for
Jimena, causing a gradual slow down and a turn to the northwest
during the next several days.  The track model guidance is in good
agreement on this scenario, and only minor tweaks were made to the
previous track forecast.  The new NHC track prediction lies close
to the various consensus aids.

Jimena is expected to more or less maintain its intensity during
the next day or so while it remains over 28 deg C water and in a
very low wind shear environment.  Fluctuations in strength are
possible during that time due to the ongoing eyewall cycles.  After
that time, a slow weakening is expected while water temperatures
lower along the forecast track.  The NHC intensity forecast lies on
the high side of the guidance and is a little above the previous
intensity forecast, giving some weight to the global models which
maintain a very strong cyclone for the next several days.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  31/1500Z 15.6N 135.3W  130 KT 150 MPH
 12H  01/0000Z 16.0N 137.1W  125 KT 145 MPH
 24H  01/1200Z 16.6N 138.9W  125 KT 145 MPH
 36H  02/0000Z 17.3N 140.3W  115 KT 130 MPH
 48H  02/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W  105 KT 120 MPH
 72H  03/1200Z 18.9N 142.5W   95 KT 110 MPH
 96H  04/1200Z 19.9N 143.2W   85 KT 100 MPH
120H  05/1200Z 20.9N 143.8W   75 KT  85 MPH

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



Hurricane JIMENA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20-Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

000
FOPZ13 KNHC 311441
PWSEP3
                                                                    
HURRICANE JIMENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015               
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   7(11)   4(15)   1(16)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  20(26)  12(38)   3(41)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)   1(13)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
 
25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)
 
20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
25N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               


Hurricane JIMENA Graphics- Hurricane JIMENA 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 31 Aug 2015 14:42:57 GMT

Hurricane JIMENA 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 31 Aug 2015 14:52:24 GMT

CPHC

Activity in the Central Pacific Hurricane basin

Hurricane Kilo Number 44-Issued at "1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015"

Hurricane Kilo Advisory Number 044-
Issued at 500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015
SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 179.3W
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM SSW OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES
 
 



Hurricane Kilo Forecast/Advisory Number 044-Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 179.3W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.

Hurricane Kilo Forecast Discussion Number 044-Issued at 500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 31/1500Z 21.5N 179.3W 115 KT 135 MPH 12H 01/0000Z 22.5N 179.7W 110 KT 125 MPH 24H 01/1200Z 23.7N 179.8E 110 KT 125 MPH 36H 02/0000Z 24.3N 179.2E 110 KT 125 MPH 48H 02/1200Z 24.7N 178.5E 110 KT 125 MPH 72H 03/1200Z 24.8N 177.4E 115 KT 135 MPH 96H 04/1200Z 24.5N 175.5E 115 KT 135 MPH 120H 05/1200Z 24.0N 173.0E 115 KT 135 MPH $$ FORECASTER HOUSTON

Hurricane Kilo Probabilities Number 044-Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

Hurricane Kilo-Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

Hurricane Ignacio Number 27-Issued at "1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015"

Hurricane Ignacio Advisory Number 027-
Issued at 500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015
SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 150.8W
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM E OF HANA HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES
 
 



Hurricane Ignacio Forecast/Advisory Number 027-Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 150.8W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.

Hurricane Ignacio Forecast Discussion Number 027-Issued at 500 AM HST MON AUG 31 2015 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 31/1500Z 20.9N 150.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 12H 01/0000Z 21.9N 151.8W 80 KT 90 MPH 24H 01/1200Z 22.9N 153.3W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 02/0000Z 23.9N 154.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 02/1200Z 24.9N 156.4W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 03/1200Z 27.1N 159.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 04/1200Z 29.5N 162.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 120H 05/1200Z 33.5N 163.5W 55 KT 65 MPH $$ FORECASTER BIRCHARD

Hurricane Ignacio Probabilities Number 027-Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

Hurricane Ignacio-Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

-Issued at 500 PM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook- For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

1. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu Hawaii is issuing advisories on hurricane Ignacio, located about 315 miles east of Hilo Hawaii, under AWIPS header TCPCP3 and WMO header WTPA33 PHFO.

2. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu Hawaii is issuing advisories on hurricane Kilo, located about 1220 miles west of Honolulu Hawaii, under AWIPS header TCPCP1 and WMO header WTPA31 PHFO.

3. The National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida is issuing advisories on hurricane Jimena, located about 1425 miles east of Hilo Hawaii, under AWIPS header tcpep3 and WMO header wtpz33 KNHC. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center, here in Honolulu Hawaii is expected to pick up responsibility of Jimena Tuesday afternoon.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through early Wednesday morning.
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