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2014 Hurricane Names


See below for the overview of all current storms:

NOAA Satellite image Atlantic and Pacific hurricanes
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Caribbean Satellite

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Pacific Satellite
Pacific Satellite
Pacific Satellite

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The Atlantic Hurricane season started on June 1.

The Pacific Hurricane season started on May 15.

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Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information (Eastern Pacific below)


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 301129
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A westward-moving area of low pressure, located just north of the
Virgin Islands, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
mainly to the northeast and north of the center. Upper-level winds
are expected to remain unfavorable for tropical cyclone development
while the system turns toward the northwest and north over the next
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 30 Oct 2014 11:41:19 GMT


Hurricane Advisory 1
Hurricane Advisory 2
Hurricane Advisory 3
Hurricane Advisory 4
Hurricane Advisory 5

Pacific Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information


NHC Eastern Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific

Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301123
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E, located several hundred miles
south of Acapulco, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected through the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

$$
Forecaster Blake



Summary for Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E (EP1/EP212014)- ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO... As of 2:00 AM PDT Thu Oct 30 the center of TWENTY-ONE-E was located near 11.0, -100.2 with movement W at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Public Advisory Number 1-Issued at 200 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 300841
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 100.2W
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY...AND THIS
MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Forecast Advisory Number 1-Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 300840
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0900 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.2W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.2W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 11.1N 100.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 10.8N 101.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 10.3N 102.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.1N 104.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 10.9N 107.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 14.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 100.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Forecast Discussion Number 1-Issued at 200 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

000
WTPZ41 KNHC 300841
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

Deep convection associated with the low pressure area south of
Acapulco, Mexico, has become more concentrated overnight, and recent
microwave and conventional satellite imagery suggest that the
low-level center has become better defined.  Therefore, the system
is being designated as a tropical depression.  The satellite data
indicate that the center is located near the southern edge of the
main convective mass.  Subjective Dvorak T-numbers from TAFB and
SAB are 2.5 and 1.5, respectively.  A blend of these estimates
support an initial wind speed of 30 kt.

The depression is over warm water and expected to remain in a low
shear environment during the next several days.  The main limiting
factor will be some drier air in the low to mid-levels.  As a
result, gradual strengthening is predicted during much of the
forecast period.  The NHC forecast is a little above the intensity
guidance through the first couple of days.  After 72 hours, the
NHC forecast is in good agreement with the HWRF which brings the
cyclone to hurricane strength in about 4 days.  Increasing
south-southwesterly shear could halt any additional strengthening
after that time.

The depression is moving west-northwestward at about 5 kt.  The
depression is forecast to turn west-southwestward later today as a
mid-level ridge builds to the north and northwest of the cyclone.
The ridge is forecast to shift eastward during the next few days,
which should cause the cyclone to turn west-northwestward, then
northwestward in 48 to 72 hours.  After that time, the tropical
cyclone is forecast to turn northward while a mid-latitude trough
approaches the Baja California peninsula.  The track guidance is in
good agreement on this scenario and the NHC track is near the middle
of the guidance envelope.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  30/0900Z 11.0N 100.2W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  30/1800Z 11.1N 100.8W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  31/0600Z 10.8N 101.8W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  31/1800Z 10.3N 102.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 48H  01/0600Z 10.1N 104.2W   50 KT  60 MPH
 72H  02/0600Z 10.9N 107.7W   60 KT  70 MPH
 96H  03/0600Z 14.0N 110.0W   70 KT  80 MPH
120H  04/0600Z 18.0N 109.0W   70 KT  80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Brown




Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1-Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

000
FOPZ11 KNHC 300841
PWSEP1
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014               
0900 UTC THU OCT 30 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                     
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  20(24)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  26(27)  18(45)   2(47)
CLIPPERTON IS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   1(17)
CLIPPERTON IS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    



Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Graphics- Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 30 Oct 2014 08:43:10 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 30 Oct 2014 09:04:34 GMT

CPHC

Activity in the Central Pacific Hurricane basin

Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook- For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

No tropical cyclones are expected through late Friday night.
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