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2018 Hurricane Names

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Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information (Eastern Pacific below)


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
427
ABNT20 KNHC 232333
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 23 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kirk, located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands, and on Subtropical Storm Leslie located more than
1000 miles west of the Azores.

A broad area of low pressure located about 375 miles southwest of
Bermuda continues to produce limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a little
more conducive for development during the next couple of days while
the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward over
the southwestern Atlantic. The low is forecast to turn northward
by Tuesday night, and pass near the southeastern United States coast
on Wednesday. After that time, upper-level winds are forecast to
become less favorable while the low begins to move northeastward,
away from the east coast of the United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form north of
Subtropical Storm Leslie along a central Atlantic cold front by
Wednesday. Leslie and the non-tropical low are forecast to merge
over the central Atlantic where conditions appear conducive
for the resulting low to acquire subtropical or tropical
characteristics by the latter part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT33
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on
Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS
header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Brown



Summary for Tropical Storm Kirk (AT2/AL122018)- ...KIRK MOVING FAST TOWARD THE WEST OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 PM AST Sun Sep 23 the center of Kirk was located near 9.5, -32.3 with movement W at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Tropical Storm Kirk Public Advisory Number 6-Issued at 500 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018


409 
WTNT32 KNHC 232031
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Kirk Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122018
500 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

...KIRK MOVING FAST TOWARD THE WEST OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 32.3W
ABOUT 645 MI...1040 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kirk was
located near latitude 9.5 North, longitude 32.3 West.  Kirk is
moving toward the west near 23 mph (37 km/h).  A rapid westward
motion across the tropical Atlantic is expected to continue through
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two.
Weakening is likely during the middle to latter part of the week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




Tropical Storm Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 6-Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018

070 
WTNT22 KNHC 232030
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122018
2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N  32.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N  32.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.4N  31.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z  9.9N  35.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 10.2N  39.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 10.4N  43.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 10.6N  47.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 11.6N  53.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 12.9N  58.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 14.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.5N  32.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





Tropical Storm Kirk Forecast Discussion Number 6-Issued at 500 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

217 
WTNT42 KNHC 232032
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Kirk Discussion Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122018
500 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

Deep convection has diminished near the estimated center of Kirk,
and the main thunderstorm activity is occurring over the
northwestern and western peripheries of the circulation.  This has
the appearance of an arc cloud, suggesting that some drier mid-level
air has been entrained into the tropical cyclone.  Since the system
should be moving over warmer waters and through low vertical shear
for the next day or so, some strengthening is anticipated into
early this weak.  Later in the forecast period, Kirk should be
encountering increasing shear associated with strong upper-level
westerlies over the Caribbean, and this will likely cause
weakening.  The official forecast is close to the latest Florida
State University Superensemble prediction and is the same as the
previous NHC forecast.

Based on the latest center fixes, the motion continues swiftly
toward the west, or about 280/20 kt.  A mid-level subtropical ridge
to the north of Kirk should steer the tropical cyclone westward at
a fairly fast clip for the next couple of days.  By days 3-4, the
ridge weakens a bit and Kirk should slow its forward motion
somewhat.  The official track forecast has not changed much from
the previous advisory and is close to the latest corrected
consensus model, HCCA, prediction.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  23/2100Z  9.5N  32.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  24/0600Z  9.9N  35.3W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  24/1800Z 10.2N  39.5W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  25/0600Z 10.4N  43.4W   50 KT  60 MPH
 48H  25/1800Z 10.6N  47.1W   50 KT  60 MPH
 72H  26/1800Z 11.6N  53.4W   45 KT  50 MPH
 96H  27/1800Z 12.9N  58.1W   40 KT  45 MPH
120H  28/1800Z 14.0N  63.0W   35 KT  40 MPH

$$
Forecaster Pasch




Tropical Storm Kirk Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6-Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018

427 
FONT12 KNHC 232031
PWSAT2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM KIRK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122018               
2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35
KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                                             
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
 
MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)
 
SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)
 
SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)
SAINT VINCENT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   7(16)
BARBADOS       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
GRENADA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
TRINIDADTOBAGO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
PORT OF SPAIN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
JUANGRIEGO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    



Tropical Storm Kirk Graphics- Tropical Storm Kirk 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 23 Sep 2018 20:34:20 GMT

Tropical Storm Kirk 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 23 Sep 2018 21:22:06 GMT

Summary for Subtropical Storm Leslie (AT3/AL132018)- ...SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS... As of 5:30 PM AST Sun Sep 23 the center of Leslie was located near 33.5, -47.2 with movement W at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Subtropical Storm Leslie Public Advisory Number 2-Issued at 500 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

619 
WTNT33 KNHC 232034
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132018
500 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

...SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF
DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.5N 47.2W
ABOUT 1170 MI...1885 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Leslie was
located near latitude 33.5 North, longitude 47.2 West. The storm is
moving toward the west near 3 mph (6 km/h), and little motion is
anticipated during the next 2 days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
No important changes in intensity are anticipated, and Leslie is
forecast to become absorbed by a larger non-tropical low by the
middle of the week.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila




Subtropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 2-Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018

497 
WTNT23 KNHC 232034
TCMAT3

SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132018
2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  47.2W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  47.2W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  47.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 33.4N  47.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.2N  48.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 33.2N  46.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 140SE   0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 33.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 170SE  20SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.5N  47.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





Subtropical Storm Leslie Forecast Discussion Number 2-Issued at 500 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

838 
WTNT43 KNHC 232036
TCDAT3

Subtropical Storm Leslie Discussion Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132018
500 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

Leslie's cloud pattern has not become any better organized, nor do
we have any data to support a wind increase. The initial intensity
is then kept at 35 kt.  The evolution of Leslie is very complex and
difficult to forecast. There is a possibility that Leslie will be
absorbed by a larger low that is forecast to form nearby, or that
Leslie could maintain its identity while rotating around the low. At
this time NHC will maintain continuity and forecasts Leslie to be
absorbed by the large low by 72 hours. No significant change in
intensity or structure is anticipated until then.

Leslie continues to be embedded within very light steering currents,
and most likely the cyclone will merely meander today and
tomorrow. After that time, with the development of the new low to
the north, Leslie will likely be steered eastward until it is
absorbed. The track forecast is highly uncertain given the complex
flow pattern surrounding the subtropical cyclone.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  23/2100Z 33.5N  47.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  24/0600Z 33.4N  47.8W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  24/1800Z 33.2N  48.0W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  25/0600Z 33.2N  46.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  25/1800Z 33.0N  44.0W   45 KT  50 MPH
 72H  26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Avila




Subtropical Storm Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2-Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018

627 
FONT13 KNHC 232034
PWSAT3
                                                                    
SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132018               
2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    



Subtropical Storm Leslie Update Statement-Issued at 530 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

105 
WTNT63 KNHC 232125
TCUAT3

Subtropical Storm Leslie Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132018
530 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

A Tropical Cyclone Update statement containing pre-formatted
information was inadvertently transmitted under the Subtropical
Storm Leslie header.  Please disregard that product and refer to the
500 PM AST (2100 UTC) Public Advisory for the latest information on
Leslie, which is also shown below.


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.5N 47.2W
ABOUT 1170 MI...1885 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown




Subtropical Storm Leslie Graphics- Subtropical Storm Leslie 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 23 Sep 2018 20:36:36 GMT

Subtropical Storm Leslie 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 23 Sep 2018 21:28:15 GMT


Hurricane Advisory 1
Hurricane Advisory 2
Hurricane Advisory 3
Hurricane Advisory 4
Hurricane Advisory 5

Pacific Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information


NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
154
ABPZ20 KNHC 232315
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Sep 23 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is beginning to show signs of
organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for further development and a tropical depression is likely to from
within the next few days while it moves west-northwestward well off
the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far western
portion of the eastern North Pacific basin by the middle of the
week. Some gradual development of this system is possible after
that time while it moves westward toward the central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky



There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 23 Sep 2018 23:48:40 GMT

CPHC Central Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific

Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
ACPN50 PHFO 232336
TWOCP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 PM HST Sun Sep 23 2018

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far western
portion of the eastern North Pacific basin by the middle of the
week. Some gradual development of this system is possible after
that time while it moves westward toward the central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kinel

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The hurricane and tropical cyclone information displayed here is based on the latest NOAA, NHC, NASA and other official reports received here and may or may not be the most current forecast available from these official forecasting agencies. We attempt to keep everything current, but remember to use this as a supplement to official sources. This information is for the general public's viewing, but Hurricane.com is not responsible for its ultimate use in the forecasting of tropical cyclones and/or the use of public watches/warnings. Customers should confirm these prognostications with official sources (see our links section) and follow local recommendations. Our advice is to always plan for the worst and get out of the way of a storm! Use of this site constitutes acceptance of these terms. One should always rely on OFFICIAL SOURCES. Email can be delayed or not delivered, servers may not be available 24 hours per day, seven days a week. Official forecasts are available via NOAA Weather Radio, NOAA Weather Wire, NOAAPORT, your local National Weather Service office and more. Use of information is at your own risk and can not be guaranteed.Please note that data and material from the National Hurricane Center and the NOAA is not subject to copyright. Some links are affiliate links, but we only link to things we think are useful.

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