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2017 Hurricane Names


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The Atlantic Hurricane season started on June 1.

The Pacific Hurricane season started on May 15.

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Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information (Eastern Pacific below)


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 201133
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven



There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 20 Jul 2017 14:40:02 GMT


Hurricane Advisory 1
Hurricane Advisory 2
Hurricane Advisory 3
Hurricane Advisory 4
Hurricane Advisory 5

Pacific Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information


NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201130
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fernanda, located more than a thousand miles east of Hilo,
Hawaii, on Tropical Storm Greg, located several hundred miles south-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and
on Tropical Depression Eight-E, located more than a thousand miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Showers and thunderstorms centered about 600 miles south of
Manzanillo, Mexico, are showing some signs of organization in
association with a broad low pressure system. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this
system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph, and a tropical depression is expected to form well southwest of
Mexico over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Disorganized cloudiness and showers in the far eastern Pacific
near and west of Central America are associated with a tropical
wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly
favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form by
early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


Summary for Tropical Storm Fernanda (EP1/EP062017)- ...FERNANDA STEADILY WEAKENING... As of 8:00 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 the center of Fernanda was located near 18.2, -139.2 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

Tropical Storm Fernanda Public Advisory Number 35-Issued at 800 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 2017

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 201439
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fernanda Advisory Number  35
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062017
800 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...FERNANDA STEADILY WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 139.2W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernanda was
located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 139.2 West. Fernanda is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, and Fernanda could become a tropical depression on
Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven



Tropical Storm Fernanda Forecast Advisory Number 35-Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUL 20 2017

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 201438
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
1500 UTC THU JUL 20 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 139.2W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 139.2W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 138.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.6N 140.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.0N 142.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.5N 144.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.1N 145.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.5N 149.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 22.5N 154.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 24.0N 160.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 139.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




Tropical Storm Fernanda Forecast Discussion Number 35-Issued at 800 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 2017

000
WTPZ41 KNHC 201440
TCDEP1

Tropical Storm Fernanda Discussion Number  35
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062017
800 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 2017

Since the last advisory, Fernanda has become significantly sheared
with the low-level center now exposed to the southwest of a rather
small area of deep convection.  The initial intensity is reduced to
55 kt based on various satellite intensity estimates, and it is
possible that this is generous.  While the sea surface temperatures
along the forecast track should increase, a combination of
continued moderate-to-strong shear and entrainment of dry air
should keep Fernanda steadily weakening through the forecast
period. The cyclone is forecast to weaken to a depression in 24-36
h and degenerate into a remnant low shortly thereafter, with the
new intensity forecast being an update of the previous forecast.

The now-exposed center is a little west of the previous advisory
position, and the initial motion is now 285/8.  Fernanda is
expected to move generally west-northwestward through the forecast
period as the increasingly weak and shallow vortex is steered by
the low-level trade winds.  The new forecast track is parallel to,
but south of, the previous track based on the current position and
motion.  However, it lies to the north of the consensus models and
the center of the guidance envelope, and if current trends continue
some additional southward adjustment of the track could occur later
today.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  20/1500Z 18.2N 139.2W   55 KT  65 MPH
 12H  21/0000Z 18.6N 140.6W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  21/1200Z 19.0N 142.4W   35 KT  40 MPH
 36H  22/0000Z 19.5N 144.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 48H  22/1200Z 20.1N 145.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  23/1200Z 21.5N 149.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  24/1200Z 22.5N 154.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  25/1200Z 24.0N 160.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Beven



Tropical Storm Fernanda Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35-Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUL 20 2017

000
FOPZ11 KNHC 201439
PWSEP1
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017               
1500 UTC THU JUL 20 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 140W       34  8   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
20N 145W       34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  14(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    


Tropical Storm Fernanda Graphics- Tropical Storm Fernanda 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 20 Jul 2017 08:51:01 GMT

Tropical Storm Fernanda 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 20 Jul 2017 09:23:28 GMT

Summary for Tropical Storm GREG (EP2/EP072017)- ...GREG A LITTLE WEAKER BUT STILL FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN... As of 3:00 AM MDT Thu Jul 20 the center of GREG was located near 14.1, -114.7 with movement W at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Tropical Storm GREG Public Advisory Number 12-Issued at 300 AM MDT Thu Jul 20 2017

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 200844
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Greg Advisory Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP072017
300 AM MDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...GREG A LITTLE WEAKER BUT STILL FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 114.7W
ABOUT 685 MI...1100 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Greg was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 114.7 West. Greg is
moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general motion
with a slight increase in forward speed is expected for the next
couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Greg
could be near hurricane strength by this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky



Tropical Storm GREG Forecast Advisory Number 12-Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 20 2017

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 200844
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072017
0900 UTC THU JUL 20 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 114.7W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 114.7W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 114.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.3N 116.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 14.7N 118.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.1N 120.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.4N 122.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.6N 127.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 15.8N 131.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 16.5N 135.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 114.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 


Tropical Storm GREG Forecast Discussion Number 12-Issued at 300 AM MDT Thu Jul 20 2017

000
WTPZ42 KNHC 200845
TCDEP2

Tropical Storm Greg Discussion Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP072017
300 AM MDT Thu Jul 20 2017

An ASCAT pass at 0458 UTC revealed that Greg is a little weaker than
previously estimated.  The maximum winds were 31 kt, limited to a
small area 50 n mi due north of the center of circulation. Since the
time of the ASCAT pass, the cloud pattern of Greg has improved
considerably, and a band of deep convection now wraps nearly all the
way around the circulation.  The initial intensity is set at 35 kt,
assuming at least a little undersampling in the ASCAT pass, and
allowing for some increase in the winds due to the increase in
convection.

It is not yet clear if the recent increase in the organization of
Greg is temporary or the beginning of a longer-term trend.  It is
worth noting that around 0000 UTC yesterday, the tropical storm
featured a similar band that weakened after about 6 hours.  There is
a fair amount of spread in the intensity guidance.  Notably, the
LGEM model shows a peak intensity of only 43 kt while the HWRF peaks
at 77 kt.  Given that the environment appears at least somewhat
conducive for strengthening, the official forecast still shows Greg
reaching hurricane strength in a few days and is very close to the
intensity consensus IVCN.

The initial motion is again 270/9 kt.  No significant changes were
made to the first 72 hours of the track forecast, and Greg is still
expected to be steered generally westward by a strong ridge to the
north.  At days 4 and 5 there is more spread in the guidance, with
some models turning the cyclone toward the northwest and others
keeping it on a westward heading.  For now, the forecast splits the
difference between the GFS and ECMWF models, both of which show a
slowdown and slight turn toward toward the northwest at the end of
the forecast period.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  20/0900Z 14.1N 114.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  20/1800Z 14.3N 116.1W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  21/0600Z 14.7N 118.1W   50 KT  60 MPH
 36H  21/1800Z 15.1N 120.3W   55 KT  65 MPH
 48H  22/0600Z 15.4N 122.4W   60 KT  70 MPH
 72H  23/0600Z 15.6N 127.1W   65 KT  75 MPH
 96H  24/0600Z 15.8N 131.5W   55 KT  65 MPH
120H  25/0600Z 16.5N 135.0W   45 KT  50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky



Tropical Storm GREG Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12-Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 20 2017

000
FOPZ12 KNHC 200845
PWSEP2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM GREG WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072017               
0900 UTC THU JUL 20 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GREG WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 115W       34 36   1(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
15N 120W       34  X  14(14)  61(75)   6(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
15N 120W       50  X   1( 1)  36(37)   5(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
15N 120W       64  X   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)  52(65)   1(66)   X(66)
15N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  26(27)   1(28)   X(28)
15N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  35(46)   1(47)
15N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   1(16)
15N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)
 
15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  13(18)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ZELINSKY                                                 


Tropical Storm GREG Graphics- Tropical Storm GREG 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 20 Jul 2017 08:54:06 GMT

Tropical Storm GREG 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 20 Jul 2017 09:31:36 GMT

Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT-E (EP3/EP082017)- ...DEPRESSION REMAINS WEAK... As of 2:00 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 the center of EIGHT-E was located near 13.7, -122.6 with movement WSW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Public Advisory Number 8-Issued at 200 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 2017

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 200835
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eight-E Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP082017
200 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...DEPRESSION REMAINS WEAK...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 122.6W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1685 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight-E
was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 122.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-southwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).
A turn toward the southwest or south-southwest with a decrease in
forward speed is expected by Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression is forecast to become a remnant low by this weekend.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky



Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Advisory Number 8-Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 20 2017

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 200838
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082017
0900 UTC THU JUL 20 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 122.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 122.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 122.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 13.2N 123.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.5N 123.9W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 12.0N 124.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.6N 124.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 122.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 


Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Discussion Number 8-Issued at 200 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 2017

000
WTPZ43 KNHC 200836
TCDEP3

Tropical Depression Eight-E Discussion Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP082017
200 AM PDT Thu Jul 20 2017

It has been difficult to locate the center this evening, and the
circulation of the depression appears to be limited to a shallow
layer near the surface.  The cloud pattern is unchanged and deep
convection remains limited to a single band in the southwestern
quadrant.  Satellite intensity estimates remain largely unchanged
since the previous advisory, and the initial intensity is held at
25 kt.

There is no change to the intensity forecast thinking. A combination
of shear from an upper-level low to the north and interaction with
Tropical Storm Greg to the east should prevent the depression from
gaining any organization, causing the system to gradually weaken.
Most of the dynamical guidance suggests that the cyclone will no
longer have a well-defined center within the next 48 hours or so,
and only a slight decrease in convective organization would cause
the system to become a remnant low.  A WindSat overpass around
0200 UTC suggested that the circulation was already becoming
elongated, so dissipation could occur sooner than indicated.

The initial motion remains 245/5 kt.  The depression is still
expected to be advected generally southwestward, around the
circulation of Tropical Storm Greg.  The track models have all
shifted slightly westward, so the NHC track forecast has been
adjusted a little in that direction, but otherwise no significant
changes have been made.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  20/0900Z 13.7N 122.6W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  20/1800Z 13.2N 123.2W   25 KT  30 MPH
 24H  21/0600Z 12.5N 123.9W   25 KT  30 MPH
 36H  21/1800Z 12.0N 124.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  22/0600Z 11.6N 124.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  23/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky



Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8-Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 20 2017

000
FOPZ13 KNHC 200835
PWSEP3
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082017               
0900 UTC THU JUL 20 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 125W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ZELINSKY                                                 


Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Graphics- Tropical Depression EIGHT-E 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 20 Jul 2017 08:40:29 GMT

Tropical Depression EIGHT-E 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 20 Jul 2017 09:39:23 GMT

CPHC

Activity in the Central Pacific Hurricane basin

Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
ACPN50 PHFO 201225
TWOCP

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Thu Jul 20 2017

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, is issuing
advisories on Tropical Storm Fernanda, centered about 1080
miles east of Hilo, Hawaii. Fernanda is expected to move into
the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of responsibility
later today.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next
5 days.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernanda are issued under
WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast Advisories on Tropical Storm Fernanda are issued
under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

$$
Forecaster Houston

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