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NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 170517
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located about 500 miles east-northeast of Bermuda.

A weak tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of
Africa later today. Development of this system is not expected
through Thursday, and any development through the weekend is
expected to be slow to occur while the system moves westward at 10
to 15 mph over the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg



Summary for Hurricane EDOUARD (AT1/AL062014)- ...EDOUARD ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD COLDER WATER... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Sep 17 the center of EDOUARD was located near 35.1, -55.4 with movement NE at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 959 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.

Hurricane EDOUARD Public Advisory Number 24-Issued at 500 AM AST WED SEP 17 2014

000
WTNT31 KNHC 170848
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 AM AST WED SEP 17 2014

...EDOUARD ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD COLDER WATER...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.1N 55.4W
ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1490 MI...2395 KM W OF FAYAL ISLAND IN THE WESTERN AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 35.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.4 WEST.  EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/H...AND IS EXPECTED
TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND EAST-NORTHEAST THROUGH
TONIGHT.  A TURN TOWARD THE EAST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS FORECAST BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY
MORE RAPID WEAKENING ON THURSDAY.  EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO LOSE
HURRICANE INTENSITY ON THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS FROM EDOUARD WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF
THE UNITED STATES NORTH OF FLORIDA BEGINNING TODAY.  THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS
ALONG MOST OF THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG




Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Advisory Number 24-Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

000
WTNT21 KNHC 170848
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N  55.4W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 140SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 230SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N  55.4W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  56.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 37.2N  52.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 110SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.3N  47.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE 150SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 40.3N  42.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 150SE 140SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 40.3N  39.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 40.1N  36.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 38.5N  33.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 35.5N  32.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.1N  55.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 



Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Discussion Number 24-Issued at 500 AM AST WED SEP 17 2014

000
WTNT41 KNHC 170849
TCDAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
500 AM AST WED SEP 17 2014

Edouard's presentation on infrared satellite imagery has changed
very little during the past 6 hours, and recent microwave images
indicate that the hurricane still has two well-defined low-level
concentric rings.  A dropsonde released into the southeastern
eyewall just after 0600 UTC during a NASA Global Hawk mission
measured an average wind of 90 kt in the lowest 150 meters, which
equates to an intensity of about 75 kt.  Edouard's initial
intensity is being held at 80 kt under the assumption that the
dropsondes did not sample the maximum winds in the eyewall.
Two dropsondes within the eye measured surface pressures of 960 and
961 mb with some wind, supporting the previous estimated storm
pressure of 959 mb.

Edouard is likely to reach water colder than 26C in about 12
hours or so.  Just as the hurricane reaches the colder water,
vertical shear is expected to increase, and the SHIPS guidance shows
westerly shear of 35 kt in about 48 hours.  With the environment
becoming so hostile, the hurricane is forecast to gradually weaken
during the next 24 hours and then more rapidly lose strength after
that.  The global models continue to show Edouard remaining separate
from nearby frontal zones and not benefiting from baroclinic
support, so the cyclone is likely to become a decaying post-tropical
low by day 3, if not sooner.

Edouard is accelerating northeastward with a motion of 035/17 kt.
The hurricane is becoming partially embedded in faster mid-latitude
westerly flow, and it is expected to continue accelerating for the
next 24 hours or so.  However, the cyclone is forecast to stay
south of the polar jet, and by 48 hours it will turn eastward and
slow down as it moves around a mid-level ridge axis.  Toward the
end of the forecast period, the remnant low should turn southward
before it reaches the main islands of the Azores.  The track
guidance remains tightly clustered for the first 48 hours but then
shows some divergence during the post-tropical phase, with the
ECMWF and HWRF showing the sharpest southward turn.  The updated NHC
track is very close to the multi-model consensus TVCA and not too
far from the previous forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  17/0900Z 35.1N  55.4W   80 KT  90 MPH
 12H  17/1800Z 37.2N  52.3W   75 KT  85 MPH
 24H  18/0600Z 39.3N  47.3W   70 KT  80 MPH
 36H  18/1800Z 40.3N  42.6W   60 KT  70 MPH
 48H  19/0600Z 40.3N  39.6W   45 KT  50 MPH
 72H  20/0600Z 40.1N  36.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 96H  21/0600Z 38.5N  33.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H  22/0600Z 35.5N  32.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Berg




Hurricane EDOUARD Wind Speed Probabilities Number 24-Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

000
FONT11 KNHC 170848
PWSAT1
                                                                    
HURRICANE EDOUARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014               
0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
35.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SANTA CRUZ AZO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   3(16)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     



Hurricane EDOUARD Graphics- Hurricane EDOUARD 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 17 Sep 2014 08:53:04 GMT

Hurricane EDOUARD 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 17 Sep 2014 09:05:48 GMT

NHC Eastern Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific

Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171112
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Odile, located over the northern Gulf of California, and on
Tropical Storm Polo, located a couple of hundred miles south of
Zihuatanejo, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



Summary for Tropical Storm POLO (EP2/EP172014)- ...POLO EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Wed Sep 17 the center of POLO was located near 14.8, -101.8 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

Tropical Storm POLO Public Advisory Number 5-Issued at 200 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 170850
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM POLO ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
200 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

...POLO EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 101.8W
ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM S OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO CABO CORRIENTES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.8 WEST. POLO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF POLO IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
OFFSHORE OF AND MOVE PARALLEL TO THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
POLO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
BY LATE TODAY.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY POLO WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




Tropical Storm POLO Forecast Advisory Number 5-Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 170850
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 101.8W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 101.8W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 101.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.8N 102.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.9N 104.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.7N 105.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N 106.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.9N 108.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 21.1N 111.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 22.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 101.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 



Tropical Storm POLO Forecast Discussion Number 5-Issued at 200 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

000
WTPZ42 KNHC 170851
TCDEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
200 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

The overall organization of Polo has changed little in conventional
satellite imagery during the past few hours.  However, an earlier
SSMIS microwave overpass showed a low-level ring, which suggests
that the inner-core is becoming better defined.  The latest Dvorak
estimates from TAFB and UW/CIMSS still support an initial intensity
of 45 kt.  Recent satellite imagery shows that upper-level outflow
is becoming better established over Polo.  With the improved
inner-core structure and low shear forecast, steady strengthening is
expected during the next day or so.  The statistical guidance
predicts less intensification than previously, but this could be due
to the lack of strengthening during the past 6 hours and its affect
on the persistence factor in the SHIPS model. Therefore, the new NHC
intensity forecast is similar to the previous one through 24 hours,
but shows a slightly lower peak to be in better agreement with the
intensity consensus.  In a couple of days, strong upper-level
easterly winds are expected to cause an increase in shear, which is
likely to halt further intensification. Weakening is expected later
in the period, due to the shear and the cyclone moving over
decreasing sea surface temperatures.

The initial motion estimate is 315/10 kt.  Polo is forecast to move
northwestward during the next few days around the southwestern
portion of a mid-level ridge over northeastern Mexico.  Later in
the period, the cyclone is expected to turn west-northwestward while
a ridge builds to its north.   Although the model guidance is in
general agreement on this scenario, there are large differences in
how sharp Polo turns west-northwestward.  The ECMWF and GFS show an
earlier west-northwestward turn and are along the southern edge of
the guidance envelope, meanwhile the UKMET and GFDL are on the
northern side.  For now, the NHC forecast lies near the latest
multi-model consensus, which is also similar to the previous NHC
forecast track.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  17/0900Z 14.8N 101.8W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  17/1800Z 15.8N 102.9W   55 KT  65 MPH
 24H  18/0600Z 16.9N 104.3W   70 KT  80 MPH
 36H  18/1800Z 17.7N 105.7W   75 KT  85 MPH
 48H  19/0600Z 18.5N 106.8W   75 KT  85 MPH
 72H  20/0600Z 19.9N 108.8W   70 KT  80 MPH
 96H  21/0600Z 21.1N 111.3W   60 KT  70 MPH
120H  22/0600Z 22.0N 113.5W   50 KT  60 MPH

$$
Forecaster Brown




Tropical Storm POLO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5-Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

000
FOPZ12 KNHC 170851
PWSEP2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM POLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014               
0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)  10(28)   2(30)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)  10(25)   1(26)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   7(14)   1(15)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)
 
MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   8(11)   2(13)   X(13)
 
SAN BLAS       34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   7(13)   8(21)   1(22)   X(22)
SAN BLAS       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
P VALLARTA     34  X   4( 4)  11(15)  11(26)   6(32)   2(34)   X(34)
P VALLARTA     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
P VALLARTA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  1  15(16)  24(40)   7(47)   4(51)   1(52)   X(52)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
BARRA NAVIDAD  64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MANZANILLO     34  1  18(19)  19(38)   5(43)   3(46)   1(47)   X(47)
MANZANILLO     50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
MANZANILLO     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
L CARDENAS     34 10  21(31)   4(35)   1(36)   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)
L CARDENAS     50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  9  11(20)   1(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
ACAPULCO       34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
P MALDONADO    34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)  15(21)   8(29)   1(30)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  10(17)  15(32)   2(34)   1(35)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
ISLAS MARIAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    



Tropical Storm POLO Graphics- Tropical Storm POLO 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 17 Sep 2014 08:57:00 GMT

Tropical Storm POLO 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 17 Sep 2014 09:07:20 GMT

Summary for Tropical Storm ODILE (EP5/EP152014)- ...ODILE CROSSING THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA... ...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... As of 2:00 AM PDT Wed Sep 17 the center of ODILE was located near 30.1, -113.5 with movement NNE at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

Tropical Storm ODILE Public Advisory Number 29-Issued at 200 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 170848
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

...ODILE CROSSING THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.1N 113.5W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH
OF BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN
JUAN BAUTISTA TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO PUERTO PENASCO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND MOVE INTO
NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL...BUT
RAPID WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER ODILE MOVES INLAND OVER MAINLAND
MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
OVER PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS...AND ALSO FROM NEAR SAN FELIPE AROUND THE
FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST TO NEAR PUERTO PENASCO.  NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING
WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 18 INCHES ACROSS THE MEXICAN
STATE OF SONORA.  THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

MOISTURE AHEAD OF ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3
TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
ARIZONA AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO...POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO
WESTERN TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
SWELLS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE TODAY.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




Tropical Storm ODILE Forecast Advisory Number 29-Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 170848
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH
OF BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN
JUAN BAUTISTA TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO PUERTO PENASCO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 113.5W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 113.5W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 113.6W

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.9N 112.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 32.2N 111.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 33.5N 110.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 113.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





Tropical Storm ODILE Forecast Discussion Number 29-Issued at 200 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

000
WTPZ45 KNHC 170849
TCDEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE DISCUSSION NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

The center of Odile is currently crossing the northern Gulf of
California, with satellite imagery and radar data from the Yuma,
Arizona, WSR-88D indicating that most of the associated convection
is now occurring in the northeastern semicircle.  This is likely due
to a combination of 15-20 kt of southwesterly vertical wind shear
and land interaction.  Satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and
SAB are 45 kt, and that remains the initial intensity.  Little
change in strength is likely before landfall in northwestern Mexico
later today.  Rapid weakening should occur after landfall, with
Odile expected to decay to a remnant low by 36 hours and completely
dissipate shortly thereafter.

The initial motion is now 015/5.  A mid-level ridge extending from
southern Texas westward over Mexico should cause a gradual turn
toward the northeast over the next day or so, with the center of
Odile expected to move slowly across the northern Gulf of
California, northwestern Mexico, and southern Arizona before
dissipation.  The new forecast track is an update of the previous
track and lies near the center of the guidance envelope.

A large area of moisture associated with Odile is crossing
northwestern Mexico into the southwestern United States.  This,
along with the slow motion of the system, will likely result in
locally heavy rains and possible flooding over portions of the
southwestern United States.  Please see information from your local
weather office for more details.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  17/0900Z 30.1N 113.5W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  17/1800Z 30.9N 112.9W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND
 24H  18/0600Z 32.2N 111.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 36H  18/1800Z 33.5N 110.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven




Tropical Storm ODILE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 29-Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

000
FOPZ15 KNHC 170849
PWSEP5
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ODILE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014               
0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
YUMA AZ        34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
P PENASCO      34 34   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
P PENASCO      50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    



Tropical Storm ODILE Graphics- Tropical Storm ODILE 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 17 Sep 2014 08:53:22 GMT

Tropical Storm ODILE 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 17 Sep 2014 09:06:34 GMT
::
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