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Hurricane Advisories

Current hurricane and tropical storm advisories

Advisory


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 011732
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Matthew, located over the south-central Caribbean Sea.

A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
located about 600 miles east of the Leeward Islands. This system
is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and strong winds
north of the center. Development, if any, is expected to be slow to
occur due to strong upper-level winds while the low moves
northwestward at 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)- ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR JAMAICA AND MUCH OF HAITI... ...MATTHEW EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF HAITI... As of 5:00 PM EDT Sat Oct 1 the center of MATTHEW was located near 13.5, -73.4 with movement NW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 940 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 150 mph.

Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 15-Issued at 500 PM EDT SAT OCT 01 2016

000
WTNT34 KNHC 012041
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
500 PM EDT SAT OCT 01 2016

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR JAMAICA AND MUCH OF HAITI...
...MATTHEW EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL TO PORTIONS
OF HAITI...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 73.4W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Jamaica has issued a Hurricane Warning for
Jamaica.

A Hurricane Warning has been issued for Haiti from the southern
border with the Dominican Republic to Le Mole St. Nicholas

A Hurricane Watch has been issued for Haiti from east of Le Mole
St. Nicholas to the northern border with the Dominican Republic.

The Meteorological Service of Cuba has issued a Hurricane Watch for
eastern Cuba from the province of Camaguey southeastward to the
province of Guantanamo.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Jamaica
* Haiti from the southern border with the Dominican Republic to
Le Mole St. Nicholas

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Haiti from east of Le Mole St. Nicholas to the northern
border with the Dominican Republic
* Cuba from Camaguey province to Guantanamo province

Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola and in the Bahamas should monitor
the progress of Matthew.  A Hurricane Watch could be needed for
portions of the Bahamas tonight or Sunday.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued 36
hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours before
the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,
conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located
near latitude 13.5 North, longitude 73.4 West.  Matthew is currently
drifting toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h), and a slow
northwestward motion is expected to continue through tonight.  A
turn toward the north-northwest with an increase in forward speed
are expected Sunday, followed by a turn toward the north on Monday.
On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will approach Jamaica
and southwestern Haiti on Monday.

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts.
Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane
Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the
next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful
hurricane through Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The latest minimum central pressure based on data from the aircraft
is 940 mb (27.76 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the warning area
in Jamaica and Haiti on Monday.  Tropical storm conditions are
expected to first reach these areas by late Sunday or Sunday night,
making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

Hurricane conditions are possible the hurricane watch areas by
Monday night or Tuesday morning, with tropical storm conditions
possible by Monday.

RAINFALL:  Matthew is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 1 to 2 inches over Aruba, Curacao, and Bonaire
through Sunday. Matthew is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over northern Colombia, northwest
Venezuela, and western Jamaica, with possible isolated maximum
amounts of 6 inches.

Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 15 to 25
inches over southern Haiti, with possible isolated maximum amounts
of 40 inches.  Matthew is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 10 to 20 inches over eastern Jamaica, the Dominican
Republic, and eastern Cuba, with possible isolated  maximum amounts
of 25 inches. This rainfall will likely produce life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large
and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the
following amounts above normal tide levels...

Southern Coast of Cuba east of Cabo Cruz...7 to 11 feet
South Coast of Haiti...5 to 8 feet
Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey...4 to 6 feet
Jamaica...3 to 5 feet
Gulf of Gonave in Haiti...2 to 4 feet

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur
well in advance of and well away from the track of the center.

SURF:  Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions
of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica, Aruba, Bonaire,
Curacao, Venezuela, Colombia, eastern Cuba, and the Caribbean
coastline of Central America during the next few days.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 15-Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016

000
WTNT24 KNHC 012040
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
2100 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAITI FROM EAST OF LE MOLE
ST. NICHOLAS TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
EASTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE
PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO
LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI FROM EAST OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO THE NORTHERN
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* CUBA FROM CAMAGUEY PROVINCE TO GUANTANAMO PROVINCE

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.  A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE NEEDED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  73.4W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE  60SE  60SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  73.4W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  73.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.6N  73.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE  80SE  70SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.8N  74.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 105SE  70SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.1N  74.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.6N  75.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 24.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 26.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N  73.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Discussion Number 15-Issued at 500 PM EDT SAT OCT 01 2016

000
WTNT44 KNHC 012045
TCDAT4

HURRICANE MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
500 PM EDT SAT OCT 01 2016

Matthew's cloud pattern has improved this afternoon, with the small
eye becoming more distinct.  A NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft
recently found peak SFMR winds of around 130 kt, and a peak
7,000-ft flight-level wind of 135 kt.  The initial intensity is
raised to 130 kt for this advisory.  The wind field has contracted
today, and the radius of maximum winds is now about 6 n mi.  The
latest minimum pressure based on a dropsonde from the aircraft is
940 mb.  Radar imagery from the NOAA plane suggests that an outer
eyewall may be forming, but the current eye has been resilient
today.  Some gradual net weakening is expected during the next day
or so, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane until
it begins to interact with the landmasses of Jamaica, eastern Cuba,
and Hispaniola in 48 to 72 hours.  Some weakening is expected during
that time, but conditions appear conducive for restrengthening once
Matthew moves into the Bahamas late in the forecast period.  The NHC
forecast is well above the intensity consensus through much of the
period.  Note that there will likely be short-term fluctuations in
intensity like we've seen today due to internal dynamics, including
eyewall replacement cycles, that are not shown here.

Matthew has made a small cyclonic loop since the last advisory, and
the initial motion estimate is a northwestward drift at around 3 kt.
The mid-level ridge centered near Bermuda is expected to weaken and
shift eastward, causing Matthew to turn northward while it moves
into a weakness in the ridge during the forecast period.  The track
model guidance has shifted a little to the east in the short range,
and the NHC track during this time has been adjusted in that
direction, in agreement with the latest multi-model consensus.

Late in the period the track model spread remains considerable, as
the global models continue to have issues depicting the synoptic-
scale pattern over the eastern United States and western Atlantic in
4-5 days.  The evolution of the mid/upper-level low currently
centered over the Ohio Valley and how it interacts with the western
Atlantic subtropical ridge appear to be critical to the long-term
track of Matthew.  The UKMET and ECMWF tracks have shifted westward
and slower by day 5, while the GFS has trended east.  This has
narrowed the guidance envelope somewhat, but given the lack of
run-to-run consistency I'd hesitate to say that confidence in the
long-range track forecast has increased by any appreciable measure.
The new NHC track at these times leans heavily on continuity, and by
day 5 is close to the GFS/ECMWF blend and left of the latest
multi-model consensus aid TVCN.

It is important to remind users that average NHC track forecast
errors are around 175 miles at day 4 and 230 miles at day 5.
Therefore, it is too soon to rule out possible hurricane impacts
from Matthew in Florida.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  01/2100Z 13.5N  73.4W  130 KT 150 MPH
 12H  02/0600Z 13.6N  73.8W  125 KT 145 MPH
 24H  02/1800Z 14.8N  74.4W  120 KT 140 MPH
 36H  03/0600Z 16.1N  74.9W  115 KT 130 MPH
 48H  03/1800Z 17.6N  75.0W  110 KT 125 MPH
 72H  04/1800Z 21.0N  75.0W   95 KT 110 MPH
 96H  05/1800Z 24.5N  75.5W  100 KT 115 MPH
120H  06/1800Z 26.5N  76.0W  100 KT 115 MPH

$$
Forecaster Brennan



Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15-Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016

000
FONT14 KNHC 012040
PWSAT4
                                                                    
HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016               
2100 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
SURF CITY NC   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
LITTLE RIVER   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
GEORGETOWN SC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
GEORGETOWN SC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
CHARLESTON SC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
BEAUFORT MCAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)
 
THE VILLAGES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
COCOA BEACH FL 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)
PATRICK AFB    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
PATRICK AFB    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  11(18)
FT PIERCE FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
FT PIERCE FL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  10(19)
W PALM BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
W PALM BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   9(20)
FT LAUDERDALE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
FT LAUDERDALE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   7(17)
MIAMI FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
MIAMI FL       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)
MARATHON FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
KEY WEST FL    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
NAPLES FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
PT GALLINAS    34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  15(32)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)
GRAND BAHAMA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  26(33)  12(45)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   7(22)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  25(36)   8(44)
ANDROS         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   6(22)
ANDROS         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  29(30)  29(59)   7(66)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  22(30)   6(36)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  12(16)   2(18)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)  34(57)   8(65)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  21(27)   6(33)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   3(16)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  33(37)  15(52)   4(56)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  10(21)   1(22)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   1(11)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  17(19)   7(26)   2(28)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)
CIENFUEGOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
CIENFUEGOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  19(22)  10(32)   4(36)
CAMAGUEY       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   1(11)
CAMAGUEY       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  29(37)  40(77)   4(81)   1(82)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  33(43)   4(47)   X(47)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  19(23)   3(26)   X(26)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  13(19)  11(30)   3(33)   1(34)
MONTEGO BAY    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
MONTEGO BAY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
KINGSTON       34  X   4( 4)  24(28)  23(51)   9(60)   2(62)   X(62)
KINGSTON       50  X   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)  10(28)   1(29)   X(29)
KINGSTON       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   6(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 
LES CAYES      34  1   5( 6)  33(39)  29(68)  13(81)   1(82)   X(82)
LES CAYES      50  X   X( X)   4( 4)  21(25)  16(41)   1(42)   X(42)
LES CAYES      64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  11(20)   1(21)   X(21)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   3( 3)   9(12)  17(29)  14(43)   2(45)   X(45)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)   1(13)   X(13)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  1   3( 4)   5( 9)   7(16)   7(23)   X(23)   1(24)
CAPE BEATA     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  11(16)   3(19)   1(20)
PUERTO PLATA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  


Hurricane MATTHEW Graphics- Hurricane MATTHEW 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 01 Oct 2016 20:42:05 GMT

Hurricane MATTHEW 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 01 Oct 2016 21:04:37 GMT

NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011732
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT OCT 1 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 01 Oct 2016 22:05:08 GMT
::
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