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Hurricane Supply Kit

Both the National Hurricane Center and the American Red Cross have developed specific guidelines for Hurricane supply kits. A hurricane survival kit is merely a specialized version of your disaster supply kit. It should include provisions to carry you through a week or two after a storm or other disaster. Our hurricane preparation page includes additional recommendations based on experiences of real people who have been through similar situations. Remember, the more water, food, and other items you have the better off you will be in the event of an emergency. You will be able to assist family and friends if needed.

Some companies include pre-assembled survival kits that include water purification tablets and more. They can be useful in addition to your own kit.

Our own version increases some of their recommendations and includes some additional items that are helpful in our experience.

Remember to print hard copy of any documents you need - instructions, tips or anything in case you have no power.

  • Water - at least 1 gallon daily per person for 7 to 10 days. Katrina and Wilma should have emphasized the importance of having sufficient water on hand. Don't forget some for your pets.
  • Food - at least enough for 3 to 7 days
    — non-perishable packaged or canned food / juices
    — foods for infants or the elderly
    — snack foods (Peanut butter; mixed PBJ; breakfast bars; crackers; canned fruit; raisins; chips;
    — non-electric can opener
    — cooking tools / fuel
    — paper plates / plastic utensils / paper cups

    — trash bags and duct tape - useful for clean-up, or patching leaks in an emergency
  • An ax to use if you stay and need to escape from your house - or other uses
  • Blankets / Pillows, etc.
  • Clothing - seasonal / rain gear/ sturdy shoes
  • First Aid Kit / Medicines / Prescription Drugs
  • Special Items - for babies and the elderly
  • Toiletries / Hygiene items / Moisture wipes
  • Bug spray, Cortisone for bug bites
  • Sunscreen & Lotion
  • Tarp to cover holes if needed.
  • Bleach
  • Water purification tablets
  • Waterless soap saves water for drinking
  • Flashlight / Batteries
  • Radio - Battery operated and NOAA weather radio
  • Battery operated television, with extra batteries.
  • Cash - Banks and ATMs may not be open or available for extended periods. Make sure you have small bills because it will often be difficult to get change, I you only have a $100 and water is $10 for a case and you are limited to one case, you do not want to have the choice of paying $100 or having no water.
  • Keys to house, cars, boats etc
  • Toys, Books and Games
  • Important documents - in a waterproof container or watertight resealable plastic bag
    — insurance, medical records, bank account numbers, Social Security card, etc. Don't forget your re-entry documents (e.g. stickers or passes). Many barrier islands require some documentation in order to return. Keep important phone number here. You may know them, but a loved one may not.
  • Tools - keep a set with you during the storm. A pocket knife, nails, a hammer and rope are important elements. Towels and buckets are useful too if you develop a leak.
  • Vehicle fuel tanks filled
  • Pet care items
    — proper identification / immunization records / medications
    — ample supply of food and water
    — a carrier or cage
    — muzzle and leash
  • Hurricane Tips

  • If you can't get cell reception, move to high ground and you may be able to reach towers that are in working condition.

  • Have a non-cordless plug in phone (a no-frills, phone that only plugs into the phone outlet and does not need its own power supply). Often phone lines will work, but without power, corldess phones will not work.
  • Hurricane & Tropical Storm

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    Advisory


    NHC Atlantic

    Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

    Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 300535
    TWOAT

    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Gaston, located well east of Bermuda, on Tropical Depression Eight,
    located southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and on Tropical
    Depression Nine, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

    A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
    located over the far eastern Atlantic between the west coast of
    Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are
    expected to become a little more favorable for some gradual
    development of this system late this week while it moves
    westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

    $$
    Forecaster Brown



    Summary for Hurricane GASTON (AT2/AL072016)- ...GASTON WEAKENS SLIGHTLY... As of 5:00 AM AST Tue Aug 30 the center of GASTON was located near 32.0, -54.0 with movement NE at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 971 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.

    Hurricane GASTON Public Advisory Number 31-Issued at 500 AM AST TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    WTNT32 KNHC 300845
    TCPAT2
    
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER  31
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072016
    500 AM AST TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    ...GASTON WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...32.0N 54.0W
    ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM E OF BERMUDA
    ABOUT 1575 MI...2535 KM W OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES
    
    
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
    
    
    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gaston was located
    near latitude 32.0 North, longitude 54.0 West. Gaston is moving
    toward the northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h).  A general motion toward
    the east-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected
    during the next couple of days.
    
    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h)
    with higher gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast during the
    next 48 hours.
    
    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
    (220 km).
    
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).
    
    
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
    
    
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
    
    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    
    
    


    Hurricane GASTON Forecast Advisory Number 31-Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    WTNT22 KNHC 300845
    TCMAT2
     
    HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072016
    0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016
     
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
     
    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  54.0W AT 30/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
     
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT   5 KT
     
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
    EYE DIAMETER  35 NM
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
    64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
    50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
    34 KT.......120NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.
    12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
     
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  54.0W AT 30/0900Z
    AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  54.4W
     
    FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 32.4N  52.7W
    MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
    64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
    50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
    34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW  90NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.4N  50.6W
    MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
    64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
    50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
    34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW  90NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 35.0N  47.7W
    MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
    50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
    34 KT...130NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 36.8N  43.5W
    MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
    34 KT...140NE 180SE 120SW 100NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 39.5N  34.0W
    MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
    34 KT...140NE 180SE 120SW 100NW.
     
    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
     
    OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 39.5N  28.5W
    MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
     
    OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 42.5N  23.5W
    MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
     
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N  54.0W
     
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
     
    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
     
     
    
    


    Hurricane GASTON Forecast Discussion Number 31-Issued at 500 AM AST TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    WTNT42 KNHC 300848
    TCDAT2
    
    HURRICANE GASTON DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072016
    500 AM AST TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    Gaston is completing an eyewall replacement cycle and currently
    features a well-defined 35 n mi wide eye.  The convective clouds
    have eroded somewhat west of the eye since the last advisory, and
    the various subjective and objective intensity estimates have also
    decreased.  The initial intensity is thus lowered to 85 kt.
    
    The initial motion is now 055/5.  A mid- to upper-level trough
    currently seen in water vapor images near Atlantic Canada is
    expected to approach Gaston during the next 12 to 24 hours, and that
    should cause the hurricane to become embedded in the mid-latitude
    westerlies.  As a result, Gaston should accelerate generally
    east-northeastward through 72 hours.  At 96 hours, a building ridge
    southwest of Gaston may cause a more easterly motion as the cyclone
    approaches the Azores Islands.  This should be followed by a
    northeastward turn by 120 hours as a second mid-latitude trough
    approaches the tropical cyclone.  The track guidance generally
    agrees with this scenario, although the model spread increases
    after 72 hours.  The new forecast track is changed little from the
    previous track and lies near the center of the guidance envelope.
    
    The intensity guidance suggests that little change in strength is
    likely for the next 36-48 hours as Gaston moves over relatively
    warm water in a light or moderate westerly shear environment.
    After that time, increasing shear and decreasing sea surface
    temperatures should cause a steady decay.  The new intensity
    forecast is an update of the previous forecast in best agreement
    with the SHIPS and LGEM models.
    
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  30/0900Z 32.0N  54.0W   85 KT 100 MPH
     12H  30/1800Z 32.4N  52.7W   85 KT 100 MPH
     24H  31/0600Z 33.4N  50.6W   85 KT 100 MPH
     36H  31/1800Z 35.0N  47.7W   85 KT 100 MPH
     48H  01/0600Z 36.8N  43.5W   85 KT 100 MPH
     72H  02/0600Z 39.5N  34.0W   70 KT  80 MPH
     96H  03/0600Z 39.5N  28.5W   50 KT  60 MPH
    120H  04/0600Z 42.5N  23.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
    
    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    
    
    


    Hurricane GASTON Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31-Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    FONT12 KNHC 300846
    PWSAT2
                                                                        
    HURRICANE GASTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31                
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072016               
    0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016                                            
                                                                        
    AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
    32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
    85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.                                        
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    SANTA CRUZ AZO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  33(33)  21(54)   1(55)
    SANTA CRUZ AZO 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  11(20)   1(21)
    SANTA CRUZ AZO 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
     
    PONTA DELGADA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   4(20)
    PONTA DELGADA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
     
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
    
    


    Hurricane GASTON Graphics- Hurricane GASTON 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 30 Aug 2016 08:50:24 GMT

    Hurricane GASTON 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 30 Aug 2016 09:08:40 GMT

    Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT (AT3/AL082016)- ...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE DEPRESSION... As of 5:00 AM EDT Tue Aug 30 the center of EIGHT was located near 33.9, -75.0 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

    Tropical Depression EIGHT Public Advisory Number 8-Issued at 500 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    WTNT33 KNHC 300854
    TCPAT3
    
    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER   8
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082016
    500 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    ...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE
    DEPRESSION...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...33.9N 75.0W
    ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
    
    
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
    
    None.
    
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
    
    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * The coast of North Carolina from Cape Lookout to Oregon Inlet
    * Pamlico Sound
    
    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
    hours.
    
    Interests elsewhere along the Outer Banks of North Carolina should
    monitor the progress of the depression.  Additional watches or
    warnings may be required later tonight or Tuesday morning.
    
    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.
    
    
    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight
    was located near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 75.0 West. The
    depression is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A
    turn toward te north is expected later today, and a turn toward the
    northeast is forecast on Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the
    center of the depression will be near the Outer Banks of North
    Carolina this afternoon or this evening.
    
    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
    depression could become a tropical storm later today.
    
    The minimum central pressure from Air Force Reserve Hurricane
    Hunter aircraft data is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).
    
    
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
    area, beginning by this afternoon.
    
    RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce total rain
    accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 5
    inches over far eastern North Carolina, including the Outer Banks.
    
    
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.
    
    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    
    
    


    Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Advisory Number 8-Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    WTNT23 KNHC 300853
    TCMAT3
     
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082016
    0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016
     
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
     
    NONE.
     
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
     
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET
    * PAMLICO SOUND
     
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
    HOURS.
     
    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD
    MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR
    WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING.
     
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N  75.0W AT 30/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
     
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT
     
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
     
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N  75.0W AT 30/0900Z
    AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  74.6W
     
    FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 34.4N  75.0W
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
     
    FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 35.3N  74.6W
    MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
    34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 36.5N  72.8W
    MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
    34 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 38.4N  69.7W
    MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
    34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  20NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 43.0N  58.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
    34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
     
    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
     
    OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED
     
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N  75.0W
     
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
     
    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
     
     
    
    


    Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Discussion Number 8-Issued at 500 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    WTNT43 KNHC 300901
    TCDAT3
    
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082016
    500 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    Convection has again increased in association with Tropical
    Depression Eight, with the data from the Morehead City, North
    Carolina, WSR-88D radar showing weak convective banding in the
    northern semicircle. However, reports from an Air Force Reserve
    Hurricane Hunter aircraft up to this writing show flight-level winds
    of less than 30 kt and a central pressure near 1010 mb.  The initial
    intensity remains 30 kt, and this might be generous.
    
    The depression should be in a moderate westerly vertical shear
    environment for the next 24 hours or so, but some modest
    strengthening is possible if the current convection can persist near
    the center.  After 24 hours, some strengthening is also possible due
    to baroclinic influences as the cyclone begins to interact with a
    frontal zone.  The new intensity forecast is the same as the
    previous forecast, and it is in best overall agreement with the
    LGEM model.  One change to the intensity forecast is to indicate
    that the system will become an extratropical low at about 72 hours
    before the cyclone dissipates within the frontal zone.
    
    The initial motion is a somewhat uncertain 305/5.  The depression
    should start a slow northward motion toward a break in the
    subtropical ridge later today.  After that, it should recurve
    northeastward into the westerlies in advance of an approaching
    mid- to upper-level trough and an associated surface cold front.
    The new forecast track is nudged a little to the west of the
    previous track during the first 24 hours based on the initial
    position. After that time, it is similar to the previous track and
    lies near the center of the track guidance envelope.
    
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  30/0900Z 33.9N  75.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
     12H  30/1800Z 34.4N  75.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
     24H  31/0600Z 35.3N  74.6W   35 KT  40 MPH
     36H  31/1800Z 36.5N  72.8W   35 KT  40 MPH
     48H  01/0600Z 38.4N  69.7W   40 KT  45 MPH
     72H  02/0600Z 43.0N  58.5W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
     96H  03/0600Z...DISSIPATED
    
    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    
    
    


    Tropical Depression EIGHT Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8-Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    FONT13 KNHC 300854
    PWSAT3
                                                                        
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8       
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082016               
    0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016                                            
                                                                        
    AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR   
    LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
    WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
     
    SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
     
    SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)   X(23)   X(23)
    SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
     
    HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
     
    YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
     
    MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    WALLOPS CDA    34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    NORFOLK NAS    34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
     
    NORFOLK VA     34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
     
    OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
     
    ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
     
    CAPE HATTERAS  34  9  20(29)   3(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
    CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    CHERRY PT NC   34  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
     
    NEW RIVER NC   34  4   6(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
     
    MOREHEAD CITY  34  2   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
     
    SURF CITY NC   34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
    
    


    Tropical Depression EIGHT Graphics- Tropical Depression EIGHT 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 30 Aug 2016 09:02:37 GMT

    Tropical Depression EIGHT 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 30 Aug 2016 09:09:15 GMT

    Local Statement for Newport/Morehead City, NC-Issued at 528 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

    Summary for Tropical Depression NINE (AT4/AL092016)- ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN SOON... As of 4:00 AM CDT Tue Aug 30 the center of NINE was located near 23.8, -86.6 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

    Tropical Depression NINE Public Advisory Number 7-Issued at 400 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 300849
    TCPAT4
    
    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   7
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
    400 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN SOON...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.8N 86.6W
    ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM W OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
    ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM W OF HAVANA CUBA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
    
    
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
    
    Interests in central and northern Florida, and southeastern Georgia
    should monitor the progress of this system.
    
    
    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was
    located near latitude 23.8 North, longitude 86.6 West. The
    depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h).  A slow
    west-northwestward motion is expected today.  A turn toward the
    north-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the
    north-northeast on Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the center of
    the depression will continue to move slowly away from western Cuba,
    and move into the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the next 48 hours.
    
    Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the
    maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
    depression is expected to become a tropical storm today.
    
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches)
    based on dropsonde data from the NASA Global Hawk aircraft.
    
    
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce additional rain
    accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over western Cuba through Wednesday,
    with maximum storm total amounts up to 12 inches.  These rains
    could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.  Storm
    total rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches are possible over much of
    the Florida peninsula through Friday morning, with isolated maximum
    amounts of 15 inches possible.  This rainfall may cause flooding
    and flash flooding.
    
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
    
    $$
    Forecaster Brown
    
    
    


    Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Advisory Number 7-Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    WTNT24 KNHC 300849
    TCMAT4
    
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
    0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
    
    INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA...AND SOUTHEASTERN
    GEORGIA
    SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
    
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  86.6W AT 30/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
    
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   6 KT
    
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
    
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  86.6W AT 30/0900Z
    AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  86.4W
    
    FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.2N  87.3W
    MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
    34 KT... 30NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 24.9N  87.6W
    MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
    34 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 26.2N  86.9W
    MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
    34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.7N  85.5W
    MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
    50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
    34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.7N  81.1W
    MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
    50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
    34 KT... 60NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
    
    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
    
    OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 33.2N  74.0W
    MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
    
    OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 35.5N  67.5W
    MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
    
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N  86.6W
    
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
    
    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
    
    
    
    


    Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Discussion Number 7-Issued at 400 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    WTNT44 KNHC 300854
    TCDAT4
    
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
    400 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    Although there has been an increase in convection over the
    southeastern portion of the depression's circulation, the system is
    still being affected by westerly shear, with the low-level center
    exposed to the west of the deep convection.  Recent observations
    from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft and the unmanned NASA Global
    Hawk indicate that the tropical cyclone remains just below tropical
    storm strength.  The NOAA aircraft has reported peak flight level
    winds in the southeastern quadrant of 32 kt, and believable SFMR
    winds of around 30 kt.  A dropsonde from the Global Hawk reported
    33 kt surface winds, but the mean-layer wind over the lowest 150 m
    support winds closer to 30 kt.  A very recent center drop from the
    unmanned aircraft indicate that the minimum pressure is 1003 mb.
    
    The westerly shear over the depression is forecast to decrease
    somewhat during the next day or so, however dry mid-level air is
    expected to remain near and to the west of the system.  As a
    result of the marginal environment, only gradual strengthening
    is predicted during the next couple of days.  This is supported
    by the global models which do not significantly deepen the system
    until is moves over the western Atlantic and interacts with an
    upper-level trough.  The NHC intensity forecast is unchanged from
    the previous advisory and remains near the intensity consensus
    model IVCN.
    
    The aircraft fixes show that the depression has moved westward
    since the previous advisory, and the initial motion estimate is
    275/6 kt.  The cyclone is forecast to turn west-northwestward, then
    northwestward tonight around a low- to mid-level ridge over
    the western Atlantic and Florida.  After that time, a deepening
    mid-latitude trough over the southeastern United States should
    cause the system to turn northeastward toward the Florida Big
    Bend region.  The dynamical models continue to agree on this
    scenario, but there are some differences in the forward speed of
    the system after 36 hours, and the NHC track is near the consensus
    of the GFS and ECMWF models.  The more westward initial position has
    required a westward adjustment to the track through 24 hours, but
    otherwise, the new NHC track forecast is similar to the previous
    advisory.
    
    Given the current forecast, a tropical storm or hurricane watch may
    be required for a portion of the Florida Gulf coast later today.
    
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  30/0900Z 23.8N  86.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
     12H  30/1800Z 24.2N  87.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
     24H  31/0600Z 24.9N  87.6W   40 KT  45 MPH
     36H  31/1800Z 26.2N  86.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
     48H  01/0600Z 27.7N  85.5W   55 KT  65 MPH
     72H  02/0600Z 30.7N  81.1W   50 KT  60 MPH
     96H  03/0600Z 33.2N  74.0W   50 KT  60 MPH
    120H  04/0600Z 35.5N  67.5W   50 KT  60 MPH
    
    $$
    Forecaster Brown
    
    
    


    Tropical Depression NINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7-Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016
    
    000
    FONT14 KNHC 300849
    PWSAT4
                                                                        
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7        
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016               
    0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016                                            
                                                                        
    AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
    LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
    WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
     
    CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
     
    OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
     
    WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
     
    NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
     
    NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)
     
    OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)
     
    ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
     
    RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
     
    ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
     
    CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   4(16)
    CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
     
    FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)
     
    CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
     
    CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   2(14)
    CHERRY PT NC   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
     
    NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   2(17)
    NEW RIVER NC   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
     
    MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   2(16)
    MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
     
    SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   1(15)
     
    WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   1(15)
     
    BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)   2(19)
    BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
     
    FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)
     
    COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
     
    LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   2(16)
     
    MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)   1(16)
     
    GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   1(17)
    GEORGETOWN SC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
     
    CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   9(19)   X(19)
    CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
     
    BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   8(20)   X(20)
    BEAUFORT MCAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
     
    ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
     
    SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   6(21)   1(22)
    SAVANNAH GA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
     
    KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  25(28)   5(33)   X(33)
    KINGS BAY GA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
    KINGS BAY GA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
     
    WAYCROSS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  18(21)   3(24)   X(24)
    WAYCROSS GA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
     
    MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  28(31)   5(36)   X(36)
    MAYPORT NS FL  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
    MAYPORT NS FL  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
     
    JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  27(31)   4(35)   X(35)
    JACKSONVILLE   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
    JACKSONVILLE   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
     
    GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  31(39)   3(42)   X(42)
    GAINESVILLE FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
    GAINESVILLE FL 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  27(32)   3(35)   1(36)
    DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
    DAYTONA BEACH  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
     
    THE VILLAGES   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  28(38)   2(40)   X(40)
    THE VILLAGES   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
    THE VILLAGES   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
     
    ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  21(28)   2(30)   X(30)
    ORLANDO FL     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
     
    COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  15(20)   3(23)   X(23)
    COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  16(21)   2(23)   X(23)
    PATRICK AFB    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   1(16)   X(16)
     
    W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   1(11)   X(11)
     
    FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
     
    MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
     
    MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
     
    KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
     
    NAPLES FL      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   6(15)   X(15)   X(15)
     
    FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   8(18)   1(19)   X(19)
     
    VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)  13(29)   X(29)   X(29)
    VENICE FL      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
     
    TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)  24(39)   X(39)   X(39)
    TAMPA FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
     
    CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)  31(47)   1(48)   X(48)
    CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   1(14)   X(14)
    CEDAR KEY FL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  18(27)   X(27)   X(27)
    TALLAHASSEE FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
    TALLAHASSEE FL 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
     
    ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  20(32)   1(33)   X(33)
    ST MARKS FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
    ST MARKS FL    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
     
    APALACHICOLA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  20(22)  15(37)   1(38)   X(38)
    APALACHICOLA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)
    APALACHICOLA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  31(34)  16(50)   X(50)   X(50)
    GFMX 290N 850W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   X(16)   X(16)
    GFMX 290N 850W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)  11(27)   X(27)   X(27)
    PANAMA CITY FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
    PANAMA CITY FL 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
     
    COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
     
    MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
     
    WHITING FLD FL 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
     
    PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)
     
    GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)  19(24)   4(28)   X(28)   X(28)
    GFMX 290N 870W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
    GFMX 290N 870W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
     
    MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
     
    GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    STENNIS MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    BURAS LA       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
     
    GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
     
    GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
     
    BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
     
    GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
     
    CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
    
    


    Tropical Depression NINE Graphics- Tropical Depression NINE 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 30 Aug 2016 08:51:19 GMT

    Tropical Depression NINE 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 30 Aug 2016 09:09:51 GMT

    Tropical Depression NINE Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics- Tropical Depression NINE Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics Image
    Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Tue, 30 Aug 2016 10:51:35 GMT
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