Hurricane.com - Advisory
Expires:No;;175248 WTNT31 KNHC 020241 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012008 1000 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008 ...ARTHUR DISSIPATING BUT POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES... AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.3 WEST...OR NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN BORDER BETWEEN GUATEMALA AND MEXICO ABOUT 95 MILES...150 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO. THE DISSIPATING DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 MPH...10 KM/HR. THE REMNANTS OF ARTHUR ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING VERY SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD AND REMAIN OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ARTHUR IS DISSIPATING INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. ARTHUR AND ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE... GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...17.4 N...91.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. $$ FORECASTER KNABB
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Expires:No;;175343 WTNT41 KNHC 020244 TCDAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012008 1100 PM EDT SUN JUN 01 2008 FOR MANY HOURS ARTHUR HAS NOT BEEN PRODUCING SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION REQUISITE OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN ADDITION...THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS BEEN ENCOUNTERING MORE RUGGED TERRAIN WHILE PROCEEDING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD...AND IT HAS BECOME POORLY DEFINED AND ELONGATED AND MIGHT NOT EVEN BE CLOSED. THEREFORE...THIS WILL BE THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. THIS CHANGE IN STATUS... HOWEVER...DOES NOT MEAN THAT THE RAINFALL AND FLOODING HAZARD HAS ENDED. SINCE THE CLOSED CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE DISSIPATING...NO FORECAST POINTS ARE PROVIDED...BUT THE REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING VERY SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE REMNANTS OF ARTHUR ARE ALSO EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGER AND NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW....SO HEAVY RAINS COULD PERSIST OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND PERHAPS LONGER. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0300Z 17.4N 91.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER KNABB