Hurricane.com - Advisory
Expires:No;;244712 WTNT35 KNHC 122030 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152007 500 PM AST FRI OCT 12 2007 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE TONIGHT... AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.5 WEST OR ABOUT 905 MILES...1460 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...5 KM/HR. THIS SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION SHOULD DEGENERATE INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TONIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...30.8 N...49.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Expires:No;;244771 WTNT45 KNHC 122030 TCDAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152007 500 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2007 THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. IN FACT...IT APPEARS THAT IT IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING TO A REMNANT LOW. THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY... THEREFORE REGENERATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THE SYSTEM COULD STILL PRODUCE INTERMITTENT BURST OF CONVECTION BEFORE DISSIPATION. THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MEANDERING AND ONLY A SMALL NORTHWARD DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY OF THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 30.8N 49.5W 25 KT 12HR VT 13/0600Z 31.5N 49.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 13/1800Z 32.5N 49.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA