Hurricane.com - Advisory

Expires:No;;128687
WTPZ41 KNHC 122040
TCDEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ODILE DISCUSSION NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
200 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2008
 
AND YET ODILE GAVE ANOTHER SURPRISE. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES REVEAL
THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER REMAINED STATIONARY AND IT IS LOCATED
FARTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED. I TRACKED A
MIDDLE LEVEL CENTER THAT MOVED FASTER TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN
DISSIPATED.  ODILE IS RAPIDLY BECOMING A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS
DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION SITTING JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO. SINCE THERE IS STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR...ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE REMNANTS DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD AND THE
WESTWARD.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON ODLE UNLESS REGENERATION
OCCURS.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      12/2100Z 18.8N 104.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 12HR VT     13/0600Z 19.0N 105.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     13/1800Z 19.0N 106.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/FRANKLIN
 


 

More information

Expires:No;;128244
WTPZ21 KNHC 122030
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
2100 UTC SUN OCT 12 2008
  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 104.5W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 104.5W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 104.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.0N 105.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.0N 106.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 104.5W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT
LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA