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Hurricane.com - Advisory

Expires:No;;925288
WTPZ33 KNHC 252034
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Pilar Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182017
300 PM MDT Mon Sep 25 2017

...PILAR DISSIPATES...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING STILL EXPECTED IN THE
MEXICAN STATES OF NAYARIT, SINALOA, AND DURANGO...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 107.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM NW OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Pilar were located near
latitude 23.8 North, longitude 107.1 West. The remnants are moving
toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Pilar is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches
over the western portions of the Mexican states of northern Nayarit,
southern Sinaloa, and southwestern Durango through Tuesday.  This
rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Landsea



 

Expires:No;;925287
WTPZ43 KNHC 252034
TCDEP3

Remnants Of Pilar Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182017
300 PM MDT Mon Sep 25 2017

GOES-16 visible imagery along with ASCAT scatterometer data
indicate that Pilar has degenerated into a trough of low pressure
extending from the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula and
the coast of western Mexico.  This is the last advisory issued on
Pilar.  The highest winds remaining in association with Pilar's
remnants are 20 kt, as observed by the scatterometer.

Some deep convection remains in association with the remnants of
Pilar along the coast of western Mexico and inland.  The main hazard
associated with the remnants of Pilar will be heavy rainfall, which
could trigger life-threatening flash floods and mudslides over the
states of northern Nayarit, the southern portion of Sinaloa, and the
southwestern portion of Durango during the next day or so.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/2100Z 23.8N 107.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...REMNANTS
 12H  26/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Landsea



 

    

More information

Expires:No;;925286
WTPZ23 KNHC 252033
TCMEP3

REMNANTS OF PILAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182017
2100 UTC MON SEP 25 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 107.1W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  20 KT WITH GUSTS TO  30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 107.1W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 107.0W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 107.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NSFHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA




 

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