Hurricane.com - Advisory

Expires:No;;882890
WTPZ43 KNHC 271425
TCDEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE DISCUSSION NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082008
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 27 2008
GENEVIEVE HAS BEEN WITHOUT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER SINCE
LATE YESTERDAY AND NO LONGER MEETS THE DEFINITION OF A TROPICAL
CYCLONE.  THEREFORE THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY.  THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 25 KT AND A CONTINUED SLOW WEAKENING OF THE
SYSTEM IS LIKELY IN A STABLE ATMOSPHERE OVER COOL WATERS.   
THE SKELETAL REMAINS OF GENEVIEVE ARE HEADED WESTWARD AT ABOUT 11
KT.  LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED OR HEADING IS EXPECTED AS THE
REMNANT LOW MOVES ALONG IN THE LOW-LEVEL TRADES.  NONE OF THE
MODELS SHOW A CLOSED CIRCULATION WITH THIS SYSTEM BY 48 HR...SO THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL SHOW A DISSIPATION OF THE REMNANT LOW AT
THAT TIME. 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      27/1500Z 17.0N 124.9W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 12HR VT     28/0000Z 17.1N 126.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     28/1200Z 17.3N 128.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     29/0000Z 17.6N 130.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     29/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 


 
	
	

More information

Expires:No;;882848
WTPZ23 KNHC 271421
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082008
1500 UTC SUN JUL 27 2008
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 124.9W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 124.9W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 124.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.1N 126.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.3N 128.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.6N 130.3W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 124.9W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE